La escuela de los momios

Miomir Kecmanovic v Karen Khachanov

Inicio: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)

Predicción 43.22%2.31momio equitativo
EV +18.86%
Ventaja +6.86%
Kelly +10.78%
Crecimiento +2.03%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.21%42.71%43.43%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.352.252.7548.78%42.58%44.44%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karen Khachanov (Visitante)

Predicción 56.78%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.638%
Ventaja -0.365%
Kelly -0.851%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%57.29%56.57%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.591.631.7570.92%62.74%61.35%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.67%E -12.19%K -39.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 06:10
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.67%E -12.19%K -39.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -18.81%E -13.15%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 06:10
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -18.81%E -13.15%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 06:10
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +16.70%E +6.18%K +9.82%G +1.64%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -19.94%E -14.14%K -48.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 06:10
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV +2.00%E +0.849%K +1.47%G +0.030%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 18:06
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 18:45
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 18:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.59%E -5.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.59%E -5.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.59%E -5.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 20:15
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.45%E -0.638%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.88%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.48%E -2.05%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 18:25
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 23:26
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 17:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.45%E -4.57%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 17:45
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 20:09
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 17:45
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.18%E -1.42%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 15:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:03
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 10:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 15:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 15:10
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.61%E -2.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 06:06
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.61%E -2.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 06:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:44
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:45
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.45%E -4.57%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:15
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.51%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.638%E -0.365%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 15:25
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.51%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.638%E -0.365%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 06:05
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 06:05
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.80%E -4.17%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 05:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 06:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -10.10%E -4.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 06:10
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.40%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.21%E -0.693%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-18 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%2.5%2026-05-18 16:36
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%3.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%6.8%2026-05-18 17:55