Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Corentin Moutet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 63.69%1.57fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%63.81%63.59%65.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5569.44%67.03%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Corentin Moutet (Visit)
Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV +0.586%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.331%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.36%36.19%36.41%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.562.7742.55%38.70%39.06%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 63.69%; Corentin Moutet (Visit): 36.31%. For Corentin Moutet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.586%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV +0.586%E +0.211%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.141%E -0.051%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.141%E -0.051%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -0.504%E -0.184%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-18 09:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.504%E -0.184%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 09:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -0.504%E -0.184%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 09:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.96%E -0.725%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.05%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.20%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 09:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.13%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.86%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 09:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 09:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.68%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.20%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 08:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.94%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 06:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.28%E -0.829%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.85%E -5.35%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.28%E -0.829%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.67%E -6.24%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 09:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93% | 2.7% | 2026-05-18 09:35 |