Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz v Frances Tiafoe

Inizio: 2026-06-21 13:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

67 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Taylor Fritz (Casa)

Previsione 67.03%1.49quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%66.92%67.06%68.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.32%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.97%3.03quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.359%
Kelly -0.539%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.40%33.08%32.94%35.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.832.803.0037.74%35.36%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Taylor Fritz (Casa): 67.03%; Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta): 32.97%. Per Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.03. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.00, con un valore atteso del -1.08%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (67 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 13:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:29
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 13:30
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.62%E -4.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 13:28
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 13:29
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -7.01%E -2.49%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 13:29
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:29
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:30
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:30
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 13:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:29
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 13:29
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.74%E -0.583%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:29
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 13:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:29
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:30
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.83%E -4.92%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:28
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -8.17%E -5.97%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.85%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.52%E -7.05%K -27.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-21 13:30
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-21 13:30
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-06-21 13:30