Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Taylor Fritz v Frances Tiafoe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

67 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Prévision 67.03%1.49cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%66.92%67.06%68.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.32%70.42%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.97%3.03cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.539%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.40%33.08%32.94%35.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.832.803.0037.74%35.36%35.71%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 67.03% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 32.97%. Pour Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.03. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.00, pour une espérance de -1.08% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (67 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.47%E -1.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.39%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 13:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:29
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 13:30
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.62%E -4.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 13:28
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 13:29
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -7.01%E -2.49%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 13:29
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:29
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.69%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:30
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:30
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 13:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:29
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 13:29
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.359%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.74%E -0.583%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.37%E -1.51%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:29
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 13:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.02%E -2.11%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:29
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:30
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.67%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.32%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.83%E -4.92%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 13:28
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -8.17%E -5.97%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -3.06%E -1.04%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.85%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.03%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.52%E -7.05%K -27.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.73%E -0.924%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-21 13:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-21 13:30
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-06-21 13:30
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-06-21 13:30