L’École des cotes

Max Schoenhaus v Learner Tien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 09:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Max Schoenhaus (Local)

Prévision 19.11%5.23cote équitable
EV +14.65%
Avantage +2.44%
Kelly +2.93%
Croissance +0.429%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.61%19.22%18.99%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.004.804.906.00100.00%20.82%20.41%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Learner Tien (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.89%1.24cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -5.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%80.78%81.01%84.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.171.171.22100.00%85.80%85.47%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +14.65%E +2.44%K +2.93%G +0.429%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 09:41
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.10%E +0.927%K +1.13%G +0.058%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 09:41
DraftKings5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV +2.23%E +0.417%K +0.513%G +0.011%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 09:40
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.28%E +0.241%K +0.297%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-15 09:30
Pinnacle5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%EV +0.513%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%EV -3.74%E -3.14%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 09:31
theScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.633%E -0.122%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:41
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.54%E -0.499%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 09:30
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.50%E -0.693%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:29
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:29
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:30
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:41
BetOnline.ag4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -5.03%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 09:31
LowVig.ag4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -5.03%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:31
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:29
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 09:41
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 09:29
NetBet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 09:28
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 09:30
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-15 09:41
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.32%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 09:29
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.32%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 09:40
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 09:31
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 09:40
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:41
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:30
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 09:40
Betsson4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 09:30
NordicBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 09:30
GTbets4.73I 21.14%NM 20.50%EV -9.61%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.50%EV -1.31%E -1.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-15 09:29
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.19%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.19%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 09:40
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -10.19%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 09:41
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.10%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.10%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.10%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 09:40
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.93%E -2.44%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 09:29
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:31
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:30
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 09:29
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-15 09:39
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -9.40%E -8.39%K -78.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 09:40
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.92%E -3.62%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.93%E -2.44%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 09:40
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.74%E -4.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.93%E -2.44%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 09:37
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -80.89%E -80.89%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -19.11%E -19.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-06-15 09:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-06-15 09:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-06-15 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-15 09:41
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-06-15 09:40
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 18.70%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%4.2%2026-06-15 09:40
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%6.0%2026-06-15 09:41