La escuela de los momios

Max Schoenhaus v Learner Tien

Inicio: 2026-06-15 09:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Max Schoenhaus (Local)

Predicción 19.11%5.23momio equitativo
EV +14.65%
Ventaja +2.44%
Kelly +2.93%
Crecimiento +0.429%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.61%19.22%18.99%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.004.804.906.00100.00%20.82%20.41%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Predicción 80.89%1.24momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -5.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%80.78%81.01%84.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.171.171.22100.00%85.80%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +14.65%E +2.44%K +2.93%G +0.429%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 09:41
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.10%E +0.927%K +1.13%G +0.058%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 09:41
DraftKings5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV +2.23%E +0.417%K +0.513%G +0.011%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 09:40
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.28%E +0.241%K +0.297%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-15 09:30
Pinnacle5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%EV +0.513%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%EV -3.74%E -3.14%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 09:31
theScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.633%E -0.122%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:41
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.54%E -0.499%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 09:30
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.50%E -0.693%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:29
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:30
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 09:29
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:30
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.46%E -0.891%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:41
BetOnline.ag4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -5.03%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 09:31
LowVig.ag4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -5.03%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:31
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:30
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 09:29
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 09:41
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 09:29
NetBet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 09:28
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 09:30
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -6.37%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -10.21%E -9.20%K -92.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-15 09:41
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.32%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 09:29
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.32%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 09:40
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 09:31
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 09:40
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:41
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.28%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:30
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 09:40
Betsson4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 09:30
NordicBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.23%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 09:30
GTbets4.73I 21.14%NM 20.50%EV -9.61%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.50%EV -1.31%E -1.08%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-15 09:29
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.19%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.19%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 09:40
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -10.19%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -7.78%E -6.83%K -55.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 09:41
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.10%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.10%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 09:30
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.10%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 09:40
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.93%E -2.44%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 09:29
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.55%E -3.85%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 09:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:31
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.36%E -4.58%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-15 09:30
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.17%E -5.32%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 09:29
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-15 09:39
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.01%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -9.40%E -8.39%K -78.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 09:40
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.92%E -3.62%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.93%E -2.44%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 09:40
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.74%E -4.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.93%E -2.44%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 09:37
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -80.89%E -80.89%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -19.11%E -19.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-06-15 09:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-06-15 09:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-06-15 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-06-15 09:41
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-06-15 09:40
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 18.70%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.30%4.2%2026-06-15 09:40
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%6.0%2026-06-15 09:41