Language:English
Ben Shelton v Nick Kyrgios
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prediction 69.46%1.44fair odd
EV -0.674%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.40%69.51%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.52%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nick Kyrgios (Visit)
Prediction 30.54%3.27fair odd
EV -0.742%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.330%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%30.60%30.49%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.50%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 69.46%; Nick Kyrgios (Visit): 30.54%. For Ben Shelton (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.43, with an expected value of -0.674%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -0.674%E -0.471%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -6.54%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.37%E -0.963%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 05:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.49%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -4.15%E -3.00%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -4.15%E -3.00%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.19%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 09:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -4.15%E -3.00%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -5.02%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 11:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.15%E -3.00%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 12:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.80%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 02:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.84%E -3.53%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.71%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 02:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 02:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.54%E -4.07%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 02:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.23%E -4.62%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -0.742%E -0.228%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.92%E -5.17%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.742%E -0.228%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.62%E -5.73%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -9.01%E -6.88%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.13%EV -9.01%E -6.88%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -14.49%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-16 03:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.70%E -7.46%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.70%E -7.46%K -32.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-06-16 12:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-06-16 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-06-16 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14% | 2.3% | 2026-06-16 05:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |