Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 75.70%; Ethan Quinn (Visit): 24.30%. For Ethan Quinn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.35%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.67%E -9.05%K -59.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +9.35%E +2.08%K +2.67%G +0.250% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +3.76%E +0.881%K +1.15%G +0.043% | 2.2% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.844%E +0.203%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.62%E -3.66%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.371%E -0.090%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.13%E -4.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.371%E -0.090%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.13%E -4.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.89%E -5.60%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.80%E -0.700%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.04%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -3.04%E -0.763%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.53%E -0.889%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.62%E -3.66%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.02%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.62%E -3.66%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.74%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.62%E -3.66%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.23%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.62%E -3.66%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.23%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.23%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.86%E -3.04%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.45%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.62%E -3.66%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.45%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.45%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.45%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.45%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.45%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.13%E -4.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.13%E -4.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.66%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.65%E -6.27%K -34.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.35%E -1.82%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-18 10:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.37%E -4.30%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 10:50 |