The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Vilius Gaubas v Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vilius Gaubas (Local)

Prediction 21.74%4.60fair odd
EV +8.26%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 4.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.55%21.63%21.93%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.204.9825.00%23.13%23.81%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visit)

Prediction 78.26%1.28fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -20.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.37%78.07%80.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2286.96%84.03%84.39%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vilius Gaubas (Local): 21.74%; Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visit): 78.26%. For Vilius Gaubas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.98I 20.08%NM 19.55%EV +8.26%E +1.66%K +2.08%G +0.172%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.45%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-22 10:40
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 10:40
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 10:40
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 10:50
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 10:50
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.87%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 10:50
Fliff🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.87%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 10:50
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-22 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-05-22 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-05-22 10:50
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%2.6%2026-05-22 10:50
Novig◎3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%6.0%2026-05-22 10:50