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Vilius Gaubas v Federico Coria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vilius Gaubas (Local)
assuming max odds 1.17
Federico Coria (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vilius Gaubas (Local): 82.88%; Federico Coria (Visit): 17.12%. For Federico Coria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -9.67%E -8.87%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV +1.89%E +0.318%K +0.382%G +0.007% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -2.39%E -0.419%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -9.67%E -8.87%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -2.39%E -0.419%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -9.67%E -8.87%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -2.39%E -0.419%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.86%E -3.33%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.93%E -0.701%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.81%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.52%E -4.84%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.38%E -1.57%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 17:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.10%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -3.86%E -3.33%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -10.44%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.18%E -6.41%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.95%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -8.84%E -8.03%K -88.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -12.66%E -2.48%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.04%E -2.59%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.38%E -2.88%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -8.01%E -7.21%K -72.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -18.66%E -3.93%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 17:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73% | 2.9% | 2026-05-18 17:09 |