The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ugo Blanchet v Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ugo Blanchet (Local)

Prediction 18.61%5.37fair odd
EV +7.02%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.104%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.06%18.29%19.01%21.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.904.855.7523.81%20.39%20.62%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visit)

Prediction 81.39%1.23fair odd
EV -0.706%
Edge -0.579%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.50%81.71%80.99%83.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.141.2290.91%86.82%87.72%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Blanchet (Local): 18.61%; Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visit): 81.39%. For Ugo Blanchet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +7.02%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -10.47%E -9.52%K -104.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 10:19
theScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.503%E +0.093%K +0.114%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -8.03%E -7.11%K -61.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 10:19
GTbets🎯5.18I 19.31%NM 19.06%EV -3.59%E -0.693%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.94%EV -0.706%E -0.579%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.3%2026-05-20 10:11
Pinnacle🎯5.07I 19.72%NM 19.01%EV -5.64%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.99%EV -3.15%E -2.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 10:19
NordicBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -6.94%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.85%E -7.90%K -73.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 10:19
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.73%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -7.22%E -6.33%K -51.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 10:19
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -12.53%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -7.22%E -6.33%K -51.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 10:18
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -14.39%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.33%E -1.94%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 10:15
MyBookie.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -14.39%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.59%E -4.82%K -34.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 10:12
NetBet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.39%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -8.85%E -7.90%K -73.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-20 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -21.83%E -5.20%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -6.40%E -5.57%K -42.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%3.3%2026-05-20 10:10
Novig◎7.30I 13.70%NM 12.57%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.43%8.9%2026-05-20 10:19