Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.24
assuming max odds 1.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tristan Schoolkate (Local): 32.36%; Kimmer Coppejans (Visit): 67.64%. For Tristan Schoolkate (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.86%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +4.86%E +1.50%K +2.17%G +0.105% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -7.34%E -5.36%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.325%E +0.105%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.66%E -4.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 17:47 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.29%E -0.424%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.69%E -6.44%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 17:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.95%EV -3.23%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.05%EV -9.37%E -6.99%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.44%EV -3.88%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.56%EV -12.07%E -9.29%K -40.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-19 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.79%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.01%E -5.89%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.62%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.62%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -14.24%E -5.37%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -14.24%E -5.37%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.31%E -3.79%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 17:48 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 17:50 |