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Tom Gentzsch v Roman Safiullin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tom Gentzsch (Local)
assuming max odds 4.20
Roman Safiullin (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tom Gentzsch (Local): 23.89%; Roman Safiullin (Visit): 76.11%. For Tom Gentzsch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.329%.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.329%E +0.078%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.06%E -0.502%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 11:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 11:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -1.82%E -1.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-22 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.14%E -5.86%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.14%E -5.86%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.38%E -5.19%K -27.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 10:56 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |