Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Seyboth Wild (Local): 75.71%; Yu Hsiou Hsu (Visit): 24.29%. For Yu Hsiou Hsu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.29%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.41%E -9.76%K -67.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +9.29%E +2.06%K +2.65%G +0.246% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.56%EV -1.57%E -1.21%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.44%EV -2.37%E -0.590%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-19 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.25%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.86%E -0.714%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -3.09%E -2.41%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -6.01%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.09%E -2.41%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.11%E -4.93%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.87%E -5.59%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.39%E -6.93%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 16:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.38% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |