L’École des cotes

Taylor Fritz v Nishesh Basavareddy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 15:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Prévision 77.91%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -10.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.88%77.90%78.03%79.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.231.221.2584.03%81.52%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nishesh Basavareddy (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.09%4.53cote équitable
EV +4.93%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.17%22.10%21.97%24.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.234.204.7525.64%23.67%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.93%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.065%4.4%2026-05-24 15:20
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.76%EV -7.29%E -6.12%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.24%EV +3.61%E +0.769%K +0.977%G +0.035%5.4%2026-05-24 15:20
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +3.39%E +0.723%K +0.920%G +0.031%2.7%2026-05-24 15:14
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%EV +2.28%E +0.493%K +0.628%G +0.014%2.9%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV +1.84%E +0.399%K +0.510%G +0.009%4.3%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV +1.84%E +0.399%K +0.510%G +0.009%4.3%2026-05-24 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.62%E +0.352%K +0.450%G +0.007%3.7%2026-05-24 15:19
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.62%E +0.352%K +0.450%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-24 15:14
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 15:20
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.70%E -0.381%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:19
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.11%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.32%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.32%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -8.32%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:20
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.43%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:16
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:18
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.85%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:20
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.85%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.85%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46%1.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-05-24 15:20