La escuela de los momios

Taylor Fritz v Nishesh Basavareddy

Inicio: 2026-05-24 15:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Predicción 77.91%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -10.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.88%77.90%78.03%79.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.231.221.2584.03%81.52%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nishesh Basavareddy (Visitante)

Predicción 22.09%4.53momio equitativo
EV +4.93%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.065%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.17%22.10%21.97%24.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.234.204.7525.64%23.67%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.93%E +1.04%K +1.32%G +0.065%4.4%2026-05-24 15:20
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.76%EV -7.29%E -6.12%K -38.36%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.24%EV +3.61%E +0.769%K +0.977%G +0.035%5.4%2026-05-24 15:20
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +3.39%E +0.723%K +0.920%G +0.031%2.7%2026-05-24 15:14
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.01%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.99%EV +2.28%E +0.493%K +0.628%G +0.014%2.9%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV +1.84%E +0.399%K +0.510%G +0.009%4.3%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV +1.84%E +0.399%K +0.510%G +0.009%4.3%2026-05-24 15:19
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.62%E +0.352%K +0.450%G +0.007%3.7%2026-05-24 15:19
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.62%E +0.352%K +0.450%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-24 15:14
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 15:20
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.591%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.70%E -0.381%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:19
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.636%K -0.823%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.01%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.11%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.22%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.32%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.32%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.29%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -8.32%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 15:20
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.43%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:16
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:18
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.61%E -2.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.51%E -5.42%K -32.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.64%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.85%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:20
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.85%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.39%E -2.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -13.85%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46%1.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-05-24 15:20