A Escola das Odds

Sebastian Baez v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Início: 2026-05-26 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Local)

Previsão 56.39%1.77odd justa
EV -0.193%
Vantagem -0.109%
Kelly -0.250%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%56.41%56.01%58.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.691.671.7762.11%59.30%59.70%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante)

Previsão 43.61%2.29odd justa
EV +1.18%
Vantagem +0.508%
Kelly +0.893%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.71%43.59%43.99%45.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.152.3248.78%46.20%46.51%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +1.18%E +0.508%K +0.893%G +0.011%3.3%2026-05-26 11:49
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.307%E +0.133%K +0.236%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-26 11:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.129%E -0.056%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.129%E -0.056%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 11:49
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.565%E -0.248%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 12:20
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.44%E -0.636%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.52%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 12:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 12:20
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.75%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 12:30
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.75%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 12:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:50
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:57
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:50
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:50
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:00
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.09%E -4.96%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 12:25
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 12:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 12:30
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.32%E -0.755%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -5.36%E -2.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 12:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.45%E -1.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 12:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:20
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 12:27
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 12:30
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 12:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 12:07
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 14:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.193%E -0.109%K -0.250%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:10
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 12:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 12:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 12:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 12:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 12:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 12:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 12:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 08:38
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 12:29
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 12:30
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 12:10
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 10:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-05-26 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-26 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-26 12:20
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-25 19:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-05-26 12:30
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-26 12:30