L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sebastian Baez v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sebastian Baez (Local)
Prévision 56.39%1.77cote équitable
EV -0.193%
Avantage -0.109%
Kelly -0.250%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%56.41%56.01%58.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.671.7762.11%59.30%59.70%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.61%2.29cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.508%
Kelly +0.893%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.71%43.59%43.99%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.152.3248.78%46.20%46.51%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +1.18%E +0.508%K +0.893%G +0.011% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +0.307%E +0.133%K +0.236%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.129%E -0.056%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.129%E -0.056%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.565%E -0.248%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.44%E -0.636%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.52%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.87%E -0.833%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.75%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.75%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 12:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.09%E -4.96%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.32%E -0.755%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -5.36%E -2.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.45%E -1.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 12:27 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 12:07 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 12:29 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.193%E -0.109%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 12:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 08:38 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 12:29 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-05-26 12:30 |