Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.63
assuming max odds 1.22
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sean Cuenin (Local): 21.76%; Hugo Dellien (Visit): 78.24%. For Sean Cuenin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.755%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV +0.755%E +0.163%K +0.208%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.07%E -0.461%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.55%E -3.73%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -10.03%E -8.72%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.78%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.90%E -5.79%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.95%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -16.22%E -4.21%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.54%EV -7.68%E -6.51%K -42.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -17.31%E -4.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.08% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.92% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |