The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Roberto Carballes Baena v Hugo Dellien

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Roberto Carballes Baena (Local)

Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV +0.450%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%39.21%39.70%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.332.5544.44%42.54%42.92%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hugo Dellien (Visit)

Prediction 60.61%1.65fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.79%60.30%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.551.6267.57%64.27%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Roberto Carballes Baena (Local): 39.39%; Hugo Dellien (Visit): 60.61%. For Roberto Carballes Baena (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.450%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +0.450%E +0.177%K +0.291%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 09:20
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.52%E -0.608%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 09:10
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.03%E -1.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 09:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.46%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 09:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.25%E -2.62%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 09:20
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 08:58
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.03%E -1.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 09:08
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -1.82%E -1.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.03%E -1.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 08:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.24%E -2.68%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 09:01
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -10.58%E -4.66%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 08:57
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.85%E -3.09%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 09:03
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-05-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-05-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-05-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-05-22 09:20
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%8.4%2026-05-22 09:20