La scuola delle quote

Raphael Collignon v Aleksandar Vukic

Inizio: 2026-05-25 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Casa)

Previsione 91.12%1.10quota equa
EV +1.15%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +10.43%
Crescita +0.120%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
88.30%91.00%91.44%93.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.041.041.1198.04%95.88%96.15%90.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aleksandar Vukic (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.88%11.27quota equa
EV +24.27%
Vantaggio +1.73%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescita +0.453%

ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.79%9.00%8.56%11.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.359.7514.0012.50%9.67%10.26%7.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +24.27%E +1.73%K +1.87%G +0.453%5.2%2026-05-25 15:20
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.73%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%13.40I 7.46%NM 7.27%EV +18.94%E +1.41%K +1.53%G +0.289%2.7%2026-05-25 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197%3.8%2026-05-25 15:20
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197%4.8%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197%5.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197%5.7%2026-05-25 15:20
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197%5.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +10.95%E +0.876%K +0.953%G +0.104%5.1%2026-05-25 15:20
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.52%E +0.543%K +0.592%G +0.039%4.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV +4.30%E +0.366%K +0.400%G +0.017%4.7%2026-05-25 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.08%E +0.181%K +0.198%G +0.004%6.7%2026-05-25 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 15:19
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:19
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 15:20
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.24%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.24%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -11.68%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 15:06
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -13.46%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 15:19
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.50%E -2.33%K -35.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:20
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:20
Bally Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:20
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 15:20
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%EV +1.15%E +1.03%K +10.43%G +0.120%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%EV -21.89%E -2.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-25 15:10
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 15:19
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -28.99%E -3.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -28.99%E -3.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 15:20
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 88.69%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -28.99%E -3.62%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%0.4%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-05-25 15:20
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 92.68%12.66I 7.90%NM 7.32%7.9%2026-05-25 15:20
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%8.1%2026-05-25 15:20