Langue:Français
Raphael Collignon v Aleksandar Vukic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Prévision 91.12%1.10cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +10.43%
Croissance +0.120%
avec la cote maximale 1.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%91.00%91.44%93.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.041.041.1198.04%95.88%96.15%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aleksandar Vukic (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.88%11.27cote équitable
EV +24.27%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.453%
avec la cote maximale 14.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.79%9.00%8.56%11.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.359.7514.0012.50%9.67%10.26%7.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Raphael Collignon (Local) : 91.12% ; Aleksandar Vukic (Visiteur) : 8.88%. Pour Aleksandar Vukic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.27. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 14.00, soit une espérance positive de +24.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +24.27%E +1.73%K +1.87%G +0.453% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.73%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 13.40I 7.46%NM 7.27%EV +18.94%E +1.41%K +1.53%G +0.289% | 2.7% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +15.39%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +10.95%E +0.876%K +0.953%G +0.104% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.52%E +0.543%K +0.592%G +0.039% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV +4.30%E +0.366%K +0.400%G +0.017% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.08%E +0.181%K +0.198%G +0.004% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.36%E -0.215%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.24%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.24%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -11.68%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -13.46%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.67%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.50%E -2.33%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.11%E -2.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%EV +1.15%E +1.03%K +10.43%G +0.120% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%EV -21.89%E -2.49%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.32%E -4.11%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 15:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.55%E -2.89%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.41%E -3.22%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -28.99%E -3.62%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -28.99%E -3.62%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.69%EV -7.05%E -6.92%K -352.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -28.99%E -3.62%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.68% | 12.66I 7.90%NM 7.32% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 15:20 |