L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 9.41%10.63cote équitable
EV +22.33%
Avantage +1.72%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.415%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.28%9.52%9.42%11.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.0010.0013.0012.50%10.00%10.00%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 90.59%1.10cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -43.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%90.48%90.58%92.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.061.0798.04%95.07%94.34%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:30
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:30
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:29
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:30
Coolbet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +8.21%E +0.714%K +0.782%G +0.064%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 19:24
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +3.51%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +3.51%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.51%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:30
Pinnacle10.97I 9.12%NM 8.81%EV +3.23%E +0.294%K +0.324%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.19%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 19:29
FanDuel10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +1.63%E +0.151%K +0.166%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 19:29
Winamax (DE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.20%E -0.114%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 19:29
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.20%E -0.114%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:29
SportsBet10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -3.55%E -0.346%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 19:16
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -3.55%E -0.346%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 19:29
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:28
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Bally Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Winamax (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 19:28
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.69%E -6.50%K -223.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 19:29
Neds9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -8.25%E -0.847%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -8.25%E -0.847%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 19:29
Fliff9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -9.67%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.23%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 19:29
MyBookie.ag9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.61%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 19:28
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.61%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 19:29
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.61%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 19:30
BetAnything9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -11.08%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 19:24
LowVig.ag9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -13.71%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:23
BetOnline.ag9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -13.71%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:24
1xBet9.04I 11.06%NM 10.50%EV -14.94%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.50%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 19:30
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
PMU (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -20.02%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.07%E -2.87%K -43.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -22.37%E -2.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.07%E -2.87%K -43.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 19:29
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.72%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -24.72%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 19:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%3.0%2026-05-29 19:30