La escuela de los momios

Quentin Halys v Alexander Zverev

Inicio: 2026-05-29 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Predicción 9.41%10.63momio equitativo
EV +22.33%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +1.86%
Crecimiento +0.415%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.28%9.52%9.42%11.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.0010.0013.0012.50%10.00%10.00%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Predicción 90.59%1.10momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -2.87%
Kelly -43.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.30%90.48%90.58%92.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.051.061.0798.04%95.07%94.34%93.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:30
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:30
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:29
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +22.33%E +1.72%K +1.86%G +0.415%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.60%E -7.45%K -379.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:30
Coolbet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +8.21%E +0.714%K +0.782%G +0.064%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 19:24
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +3.51%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +3.51%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.51%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:30
Pinnacle10.97I 9.12%NM 8.81%EV +3.23%E +0.294%K +0.324%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.19%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 19:29
FanDuel10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +1.63%E +0.151%K +0.166%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 19:29
Winamax (DE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -1.20%E -0.114%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 19:29
DraftKings10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -1.20%E -0.114%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 19:29
SportsBet10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -3.55%E -0.346%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 19:16
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -3.55%E -0.346%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 19:29
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:28
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Bally Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Winamax (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 19:28
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 19:29
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -5.90%E -0.590%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.69%E -6.50%K -223.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 19:29
Neds9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -8.25%E -0.847%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -8.25%E -0.847%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 19:29
Fliff9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -9.67%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.23%EV -5.79%E -5.56%K -144.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 19:29
MyBookie.ag9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.61%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 19:28
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.61%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 19:29
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.61%E -1.12%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 19:30
BetAnything9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -11.08%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 19:24
LowVig.ag9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -13.71%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:23
BetOnline.ag9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%EV -13.71%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:24
1xBet9.04I 11.06%NM 10.50%EV -14.94%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.50%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 19:30
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
PMU (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
NordicBet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -15.31%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 19:29
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -20.02%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.07%E -2.87%K -43.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 19:29
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -22.37%E -2.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.07%E -2.87%K -43.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 19:29
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -24.72%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.97%E -3.75%K -66.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -24.72%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.88%E -4.65%K -97.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 19:23
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-29 19:30
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%3.0%2026-05-29 19:30