The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pierre-Hugues Herbert v Leandro Riedi

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Local)

Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV +0.066%
Edge +0.019%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%28.53%28.54%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.293.283.5031.75%30.43%30.49%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leandro Riedi (Visit)

Prediction 71.41%1.40fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -10.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%71.47%71.46%72.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3577.52%76.22%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Local): 28.59%; Leandro Riedi (Visit): 71.41%. For Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.498. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.066%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.066%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 11:19
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.36%E -0.395%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.45%E -4.93%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 11:10
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -3.36%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -3.60%E -2.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 11:30
GTbets🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -3.36%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 10:59
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 10:56
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 11:10
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.45%E -4.93%K -20.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -6.22%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -6.45%E -4.93%K -20.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 11:20
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 11:10
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 11:11
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 11:10
MyBookie.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 11:10
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 11:30
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.17%E -5.51%K -23.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 11:30
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.94%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -7.88%E -6.11%K -27.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-05-22 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-05-22 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-05-22 11:30
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-05-22 11:30
Novig◎3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%3.6%2026-05-22 11:30