The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pierre-Hugues Herbert v Kaichi Uchida

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Local)

Prediction 82.50%1.21fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -4.46%
Kelly -34.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.65%82.36%82.02%84.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.131.141.1593.46%88.57%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kaichi Uchida (Visit)

Prediction 17.50%5.71fair odd
EV +8.00%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.124%

assuming max odds 6.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.57%17.64%17.98%20.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.265.206.1722.22%19.01%19.23%16.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Local): 82.50%; Kaichi Uchida (Visit): 17.50%. For Kaichi Uchida (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -5.96%E -5.22%K -42.54%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +8.00%E +1.30%K +1.55%G +0.124%3.9%2026-05-19 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.43%EV -11.73%E -10.96%K -167.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV +1.53%E +0.263%K +0.318%G +0.005%10.7%2026-05-19 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.96%E -5.22%K -42.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.651%E +0.113%K +0.137%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 13:47
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.60%E -6.79%K -63.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +0.651%E +0.113%K +0.137%G +0.001%6.7%2026-05-19 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.60%E -6.79%K -63.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.48%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.96%E -5.22%K -42.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.98%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:50
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.55%EV -7.60%E -6.79%K -63.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.45%EV -13.35%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 13:47
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -5.96%E -5.22%K -42.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -15.10%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.96%E -5.22%K -42.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.98%E -3.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -5.96%E -5.22%K -42.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -17.73%E -3.77%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 13:50
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -5.13%E -4.46%K -34.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -21.23%E -4.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 85.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%3.2%2026-05-19 13:47
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%4.6%2026-05-19 13:50