Language:English
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer v Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local)
assuming max odds 1.28
Gilles Arnaud Bailly (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local): 75.37%; Gilles Arnaud Bailly (Visit): 24.63%. For Gilles Arnaud Bailly (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.885%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.52%E -2.75%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -21.20%E -6.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.50%E -0.374%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.50%E -0.374%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.19%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -9.55%E -7.96%K -47.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 17:56 |