The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Michael Zheng v Stefano Travaglia

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michael Zheng (Local)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV +0.275%
Edge +0.121%
Kelly +0.216%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%44.11%44.25%45.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.112.102.2749.26%47.31%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stefano Travaglia (Visit)

Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.42%55.89%55.75%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.681.7562.50%59.72%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michael Zheng (Local): 44.17%; Stefano Travaglia (Visit): 55.83%. For Michael Zheng (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.275%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV +0.275%E +0.121%K +0.216%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 07:19
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 06:49
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.35%E -3.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 06:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.23%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 14:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.23%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.23%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.33%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 06:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -8.56%E -4.14%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.40%EV -10.68%E -6.67%K -17.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 06:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 07:49
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -10.33%E -5.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -10.33%E -5.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-05-20 07:39
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-05-20 07:29