L’École des cotes

Michael Zheng v Dino Prizmic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 13:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Michael Zheng (Local)

Prévision 17.74%5.64cote équitable
EV +5.73%
Avantage +0.962%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 5.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.06%17.84%17.62%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.365.455.9622.22%18.66%18.35%16.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dino Prizmic (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.26%1.22cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -6.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%82.16%82.38%83.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.161.151.2088.50%86.49%86.96%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +5.73%E +0.962%K +1.16%G +0.066%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 13:19
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +5.73%E +0.962%K +1.16%G +0.066%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 13:20
DraftKings5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.89%E +0.499%K +0.603%G +0.017%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -7.05%E -6.24%K -54.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Pinnacle5.79I 17.27%NM 16.69%EV +2.72%E +0.469%K +0.567%G +0.015%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.31%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 13:20
1xBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +2.01%E +0.349%K +0.422%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 13:09
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.01%E +0.349%K +0.422%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 13:17
Coolbet5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 13:19
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 13:20
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 13:20
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.05%E -6.24%K -54.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 13:20
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:13
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
GTbets5.58I 17.92%NM 17.70%EV -1.01%E -0.181%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.30%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.3%2026-05-24 13:19
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:18
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:19
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 13:19
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.05%E -6.24%K -54.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 13:20
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 13:19
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:20
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:19
Fliff5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -5.09%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 13:19
MyBookie.ag5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:20
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:19
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:19
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:19
BetAnything5.27I 18.98%NM 17.91%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.09%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.86%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 13:20
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.75%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.75%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 13:14
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.75%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 13:20
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 13:19
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.73%E -3.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 13:13
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:19
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:20
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-05-24 13:20
Novig5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%3.6%2026-05-24 13:20