La escuela de los momios

Michael Zheng v Dino Prizmic

Inicio: 2026-05-24 13:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Michael Zheng (Local)

Predicción 17.74%5.64momio equitativo
EV +5.73%
Ventaja +0.962%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.066%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.06%17.84%17.62%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.365.455.9622.22%18.66%18.35%16.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dino Prizmic (Visitante)

Predicción 82.26%1.22momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -6.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.95%82.16%82.38%83.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.151.2088.50%86.49%86.96%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +5.73%E +0.962%K +1.16%G +0.066%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 13:19
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +5.73%E +0.962%K +1.16%G +0.066%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 13:20
DraftKings5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.89%E +0.499%K +0.603%G +0.017%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -7.05%E -6.24%K -54.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Pinnacle5.79I 17.27%NM 16.69%EV +2.72%E +0.469%K +0.567%G +0.015%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.31%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 13:20
1xBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +2.01%E +0.349%K +0.422%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 13:09
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.01%E +0.349%K +0.422%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 13:17
Coolbet5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 13:19
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 13:20
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 13:20
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.238%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.05%E -6.24%K -54.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 13:20
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:13
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:19
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.656%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 13:20
GTbets5.58I 17.92%NM 17.70%EV -1.01%E -0.181%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.30%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.3%2026-05-24 13:19
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:18
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:19
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 13:19
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.43%E -0.442%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.05%E -6.24%K -54.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 13:20
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 13:19
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:20
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -4.20%E -0.778%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:19
Fliff5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -5.09%E -0.952%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 13:19
MyBookie.ag5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 13:20
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:19
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:19
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.98%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:19
BetAnything5.27I 18.98%NM 17.91%EV -6.51%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.09%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.86%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 13:20
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.75%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.75%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 13:14
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.75%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.76%E -3.21%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 13:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:20
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.58%E -3.95%K -28.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 13:20
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 13:19
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.30%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.22%E -5.46%K -44.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 13:19
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -15.73%E -3.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.40%E -4.70%K -36.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 13:13
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:19
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:20
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:20
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -20.17%E -4.48%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.29%E -1.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 13:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-24 13:20
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-05-24 13:20
Novig5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%3.6%2026-05-24 13:20