The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mark Lajal v Roman Safiullin

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mark Lajal (Local)

Prediction 21.45%4.66fair odd
EV +7.45%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.138%

assuming max odds 5.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%21.34%21.68%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.385.0125.00%22.83%22.86%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Roman Safiullin (Visit)

Prediction 78.55%1.27fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -18.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%78.66%78.32%80.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.181.2288.50%84.82%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mark Lajal (Local): 21.45%; Roman Safiullin (Visit): 78.55%. For Mark Lajal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 19.19%EV +7.45%E +1.49%K +1.86%G +0.138%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.81%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 15:00
Fliff🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV +1.87%E +0.395%K +0.500%G +0.009%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -3.49%E -0.775%K -0.996%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -11.24%E -9.94%K -86.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 15:00
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.31%E -6.19%K -40.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -5.63%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.09%E -6.92%K -47.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 14:59
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.70%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.17%E -3.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 15:06
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.92%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 15:10
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.07%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.31%E -6.19%K -40.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 15:10
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.07%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.31%E -6.19%K -40.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 15:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.21%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-05-19 15:00
Novig◎4.39I 22.78%NM 21.89%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%4.1%2026-05-19 15:10