Language:English
Luca Van Assche v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luca Van Assche (Local)
Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd
EV +0.480%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.221%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%31.77%31.54%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.1735.71%33.72%33.90%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 68.30%1.46fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.23%68.46%69.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.51%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luca Van Assche (Local): 31.70%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 68.30%. For Luca Van Assche (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.480%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV +0.480%E +0.152%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV +0.163%E +0.052%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.154%E -0.049%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -1.10%E -0.354%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.74%E -0.561%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.74%E -4.16%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.74%E -0.561%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.74%E -4.16%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.74%E -0.561%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.74%E -4.16%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.74%E -0.561%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -4.59%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -5.74%E -4.16%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.06%E -3.64%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.43%E -4.69%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.23%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -1.64%E -1.14%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:36 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.69%E -2.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.74%E -4.16%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 15:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.11%E -5.23%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-28 15:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.03%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.01%E -2.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.38%E -3.13%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.82% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-28 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |