The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lorenzo Giustino v Kyrian Jacquet

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Giustino (Local)

Prediction 30.51%3.28fair odd
EV +4.95%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.03%30.30%30.61%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.003.4434.48%32.56%33.33%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)

Prediction 69.49%1.44fair odd
EV -5.49%
Edge -4.04%
Kelly -15.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%69.70%69.39%71.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3676.92%74.83%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lorenzo Giustino (Local): 30.51%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 69.49%. For Lorenzo Giustino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV +4.95%E +1.44%K +2.03%G +0.100%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -6.88%E -5.13%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 14:00
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.674%E +0.204%K +0.293%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.57%E -5.70%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -7.57%E -5.70%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 14:10
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.57%E -5.70%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.00%EV -6.04%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -8.27%E -6.26%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 13:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.49%E -4.04%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 14:10
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.49%E -4.04%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 14:10
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.00%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.57%E -5.70%K -22.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.00%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -9.66%E -7.43%K -32.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 13:59
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.53%E -3.98%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 14:09
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.53%E -3.98%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%2.8%2026-05-19 14:10
Novig◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%2.9%2026-05-19 14:10