The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Juan Pablo Ficovich v Stefano Travaglia

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juan Pablo Ficovich (Local)

Prediction 38.30%2.61fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.48%38.14%38.35%39.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.462.5643.48%40.89%40.65%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stefano Travaglia (Visit)

Prediction 61.70%1.62fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -6.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.85%61.86%61.65%63.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.491.501.5668.97%66.95%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Pablo Ficovich (Local): 38.30%; Stefano Travaglia (Visit): 61.70%. For Juan Pablo Ficovich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -1.96%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -9.30%E -6.33%K -19.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 07:52
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.34%E -0.917%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.21%E -4.09%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 07:59
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.75%E -2.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 08:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:07
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.53%E -7.26%K -23.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 08:07
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -5.79%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -6.83%E -4.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 07:59
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.08%E -3.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 08:10
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.08%E -3.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 08:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.47%E -3.54%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.83%E -4.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.46%EV -11.15%E -4.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.54%EV -10.53%E -7.26%K -23.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-18 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.91%E -5.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.68%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-05-18 07:59