Language:English
Joao Fonseca v Dino Prizmic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prediction 50.82%1.97fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.87%50.91%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.881.9455.56%53.50%53.33%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dino Prizmic (Visit)
Prediction 49.18%2.03fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.13%49.09%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.79%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Joao Fonseca (Local): 50.82%; Dino Prizmic (Visit): 49.18%. For Joao Fonseca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.41%E -0.727%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.92%E -0.994%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 15:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 15:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 15:32 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 15:36 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.30%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.48%E -2.94%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.62%E -1.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.03%E -4.30%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 15:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-05-27 15:40 |