The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jaime Faria v Lukas Neumayer

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%46.63%46.38%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.982.002.0552.63%50.38%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lukas Neumayer (Visit)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -0.791%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.919%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.37%53.62%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.731.8659.17%56.98%57.80%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 46.66%; Lukas Neumayer (Visit): 53.34%. For Lukas Neumayer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -0.791%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.79%E -5.14%K -12.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 13:20
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.86%E -1.01%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.92%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 11:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.72%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.32%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 13:19
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.32%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 13:19
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.86%E -5.83%K -14.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 13:20
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.48%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.791%E -0.425%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.48%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.72%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-05-21 13:20
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-05-21 13:20