The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jaime Faria v Colton Smith

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prediction 75.00%1.33fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -14.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.38%75.42%75.00%76.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.32%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colton Smith (Visit)

Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV +4.50%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 4.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.58%25.00%25.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.783.754.1827.78%26.45%26.67%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 75.00%; Colton Smith (Visit): 25.00%. For Colton Smith (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -6.25%E -5.00%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV +4.50%E +1.08%K +1.42%G +0.064%3.9%2026-05-20 12:09
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.25%E -5.00%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:09
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -4.00%E -3.13%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.35%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 12:09
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.25%E -5.00%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 12:09
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.25%E -5.00%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 12:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.00%E -5.65%K -29.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 11:59
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.50%E -6.97%K -38.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 12:09
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.50%E -6.97%K -38.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%3.8%2026-05-20 12:09
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 77.12%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.88%4.6%2026-05-20 12:09