The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Harold Mayot v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harold Mayot (Local)

Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.675%
Kelly +0.874%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%23.01%23.37%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.034.004.4025.64%24.84%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit)

Prediction 76.60%1.31fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -13.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%76.99%76.63%78.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.211.2684.75%81.97%82.30%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harold Mayot (Local): 23.40%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit): 76.60%. For Harold Mayot (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.97%E +0.675%K +0.874%G +0.026%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.61%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:40
Pinnacle🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.82%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 16:00
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:39
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:29
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:00
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:00
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%3.1%2026-05-19 16:40
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-19 16:41