L’École des cotes

Flavio Cobolli v Zachary Svajda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-01 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 85.13%1.17cote équitable
EV -0.400%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%84.90%85.19%86.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.121.121.1791.74%89.08%89.29%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.87%6.72cote équitable
EV +6.63%
Avantage +0.925%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 7.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.47%15.10%14.81%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.286.407.1720.00%15.91%15.63%13.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +6.63%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.071%2.4%2026-06-01 08:40
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +4.10%E +0.586%K +0.684%G +0.028%2.8%2026-06-01 08:10
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.10%E +0.586%K +0.684%G +0.028%5.2%2026-06-01 08:40
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.61%K -80.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.10%E +0.586%K +0.684%G +0.028%6.0%2026-06-01 08:49
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.384%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-01 08:40
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -1.85%E -0.280%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -1.85%E -0.280%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 08:40
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.74%E -0.419%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 08:49
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 08:50
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 05:30
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 08:40
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 03:40
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 03:40
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 03:39
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 21:00
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:48
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 08:39
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 08:40
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 08:38
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 05:34
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.71%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 04:50
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.71%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 04:50
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -6.31%E -1.00%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 23:58
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 08:40
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 08:40
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 08:40
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.40%EV -7.65%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 08:30
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.06%EV -0.400%E -0.342%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.94%EV -8.24%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-01 01:00
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -8.54%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 08:49
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 08:50
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 05:30
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 08:30
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 06:51
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 05:29
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 08:49
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 08:50
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 08:50
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.49%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 16:09
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.49%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.49%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -16.72%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 16:10
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -16.72%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 16:09
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.21%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 11:40
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.21%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 08:40
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.64%E -5.13%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 09:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66%2.5%2026-06-01 08:50