La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 85.13%1.17momio equitativo
EV -0.400%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%84.90%85.19%86.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.121.121.1791.74%89.08%89.29%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 14.87%6.72momio equitativo
EV +6.63%
Ventaja +0.925%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.47%15.10%14.81%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.286.407.1720.00%15.91%15.63%13.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.39%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.61%EV +6.63%E +0.925%K +1.07%G +0.071% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +4.10%E +0.586%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 2.8% | 2026-06-01 08:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.10%E +0.586%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.21%E -6.61%K -80.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.10%E +0.586%K +0.684%G +0.028% | 6.0% | 2026-06-01 08:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.384%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -1.85%E -0.280%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -1.85%E -0.280%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.74%E -0.419%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 05:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 03:40 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-01 03:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.36%E -5.78%K -63.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.33%E -0.513%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:48 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 08:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 08:38 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.82%E -0.753%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 05:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.71%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 04:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.71%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 04:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -6.31%E -1.00%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 23:58 |
| BetAnything | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.05%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.40%EV -7.65%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 08:30 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.06%EV -0.400%E -0.342%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.94%EV -8.24%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -8.54%E -1.39%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 08:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.28%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 05:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-01 08:30 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 06:51 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 05:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.51%E -4.96%K -50.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.77%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.49%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| Coral | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.49%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.49%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -16.72%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:10 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -16.72%E -2.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 16:09 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.81%E -3.37%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.21%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 11:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.66%E -4.16%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.21%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-01 08:40 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.95%E -2.59%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.64%E -5.13%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 09:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66% | 2.5% | 2026-06-01 08:50 |