Language:English
Felix Gill v Kyrian Jacquet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Gill (Local)
assuming max odds 2.35
Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Gill (Local): 43.39%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 56.61%. For Felix Gill (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +1.97%E +0.837%K +1.46%G +0.029% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -12.26%E -7.91%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +0.666%E +0.287%K +0.504%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -9.42%E -5.89%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.42%E -5.89%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -10.56%E -6.68%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.20%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.59%E -4.00%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.29%E -5.12%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -1.50%E -0.862%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-05-22 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 14:31 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 14:31 |