The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Emilio Nava v Thiago Seyboth Wild

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emilio Nava (Local)

Prediction 66.26%1.51fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -8.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.52%66.27%66.22%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.411.421.4572.99%70.92%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Thiago Seyboth Wild (Visit)

Prediction 33.74%2.96fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.73%33.78%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9038.46%36.39%36.30%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emilio Nava (Local): 66.26%; Thiago Seyboth Wild (Visit): 33.74%. For Thiago Seyboth Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.51%E -1.23%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.92%E -2.70%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 15:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.58%E -3.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -5.24%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -8.57%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:09
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.24%E -3.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -12.28%E -4.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.61%EV -6.57%E -4.66%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.39%EV -9.25%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 15:09
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.56%E -6.20%K -22.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.16%E -0.746%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 15:18
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 15:18
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 15:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.09%EV -9.22%E -6.73%K -24.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.91%EV -9.92%E -3.72%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-20 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-05-20 15:10
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%3.1%2026-05-20 15:20