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Elmer Moller v Timofey Skatov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elmer Moller (Local)
assuming max odds 1.49
Timofey Skatov (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elmer Moller (Local): 64.50%; Timofey Skatov (Visit): 35.50%. For Timofey Skatov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.89%E -2.61%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.29%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.54%E -3.06%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.03%E -0.735%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-19 05:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.06%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.71%E -2.96%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.47%E -4.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.71%E -2.96%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.47%E -4.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.77%E -3.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.47%E -4.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.48%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.47%E -4.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.48%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.58%E -2.10%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.93%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.12%E -4.94%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.26%E -4.50%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.76%E -5.43%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.26%E -4.50%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 05:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.90%EV -10.34%E -7.44%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.10%EV -8.77%E -3.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-19 08:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 10:48 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 10:10 |