The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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David Goffin v Chun-Hsin Tseng

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 12:23 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

David Goffin (Local)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV +9.16%
Edge +3.32%
Kelly +5.21%
Growth +0.477%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%39.45%39.44%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.502.552.7645.45%39.99%39.22%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chun-Hsin Tseng (Visit)

Prediction 60.45%1.65fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%60.55%60.56%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.491.501.6271.94%67.03%66.67%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: David Goffin (Local): 39.55%; Chun-Hsin Tseng (Visit): 60.45%. For David Goffin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +9.16%E +3.32%K +5.21%G +0.477%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -9.33%E -6.22%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 01:29
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +6.79%E +2.52%K +3.99%G +0.271%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -15.37%E -10.98%K -38.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV +5.60%E +2.10%K +3.36%G +0.188%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -14.16%E -9.97%K -33.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 11:04
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +4.81%E +1.82%K +2.92%G +0.140%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -10.54%E -7.12%K -21.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 12:18
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +2.04%E +0.792%K +1.29%G +0.026%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV +0.858%E +0.336%K +0.553%G +0.005%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -15.98%E -11.49%K -40.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -1.12%E -0.448%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -14.77%E -10.47%K -36.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-18 12:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.91%E -4.49%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:20
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -8.12%E -5.34%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 12:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.99%E -5.90%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 12:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.99%E -5.90%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.1%2026-05-18 12:18