The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Colton Smith v Alvaro Guillen Meza

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 09:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colton Smith (Local)

Prediction 58.02%1.72fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%57.41%58.14%59.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.73%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alvaro Guillen Meza (Visit)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.99%42.59%41.86%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.232.3148.78%45.35%44.94%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colton Smith (Local): 58.02%; Alvaro Guillen Meza (Visit): 41.98%. For Colton Smith (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -1.36%E -0.802%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -13.94%E -6.80%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 09:40
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.26%E -2.58%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.03%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 09:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.42%E -3.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.45%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.55%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 09:10
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 09:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -8.91%E -5.67%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -5.13%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 09:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.33%EV -10.07%E -6.49%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -8.91%E -4.10%K -7.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-05-19 09:40
Novig◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-05-19 09:40