Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chak Lam Coleman Wong v Billy Harris

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local)

Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd

EV -0.726%

Edge -0.429%

Kelly -1.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.70%59.48%58.90%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.441.571.571.6969.44%63.64%63.69%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Billy Harris (Visit)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd

EV +7.27%

Edge +2.80%

Kelly +4.54%

Growth +0.330%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.80%40.52%41.10%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.322.252.6045.45%43.15%44.44%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chak Lam Coleman Wong (Local): 58.74%; Billy Harris (Visit): 41.26%. For Billy Harris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -14.82%E -10.22%K -32.94%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +7.27%E +2.80%K +4.54%G +0.330%	7.4%	2026-05-19 09:50
Fliff🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -15.41%E -10.70%K -35.03%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV +3.14%E +1.26%K +2.10%G +0.066%	9.4%	2026-05-19 09:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-19 09:50
NordicBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-19 09:50
Betsson🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-19 09:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.726%E -0.429%K -1.05%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.58%E -3.39%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-19 09:30
PlayUp🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.93%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.23%E -4.20%K -7.69%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-19 09:20
Betway🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.23%E -4.20%K -7.69%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-19 09:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%	2.3%	2026-05-19 09:40
Novig◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%	6.0%	2026-05-19 09:50