The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bernard Tomic v Moez Echargui

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 16:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bernard Tomic (Local)

Prediction 41.81%2.39fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%42.04%41.36%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.252.3347.62%45.20%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Moez Echargui (Visit)

Prediction 58.19%1.72fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.96%58.64%59.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.591.6565.36%62.59%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bernard Tomic (Local): 41.81%; Moez Echargui (Visit): 58.19%. For Bernard Tomic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -2.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.58%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.57%E -2.78%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.68%E -2.05%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.22%E -5.91%K -16.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 16:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.93%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.48%E -4.70%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.93%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.64%E -5.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 16:25
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.93%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -10.39%E -6.74%K -19.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -8.02%E -3.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 16:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.11%E -4.70%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:35
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.20%E -5.81%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.20%E -5.81%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-05-18 16:40