A Escola das Odds

Benjamin Bonzi v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-05-24 11:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Previsão 7.29%13.72odd justa
EV +89.45%
Vantagem +3.44%
Kelly +3.58%
Crescimento +3.20%

pressupondo odds máximas de 26.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.74%7.37%7.28%10.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.0013.3112.5026.0011.11%7.51%8.00%3.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 92.71%1.08odd justa
EV -0.796%
Vantagem -0.744%
Kelly -11.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.73%92.63%92.72%96.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.25%97.09%93.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +89.45%E +3.44%K +3.58%G +3.20%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 11:39
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +23.87%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.356%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 11:49
Paddy Power17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +23.87%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.356%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 11:50
DraftKings16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +16.58%E +1.04%K +1.11%G +0.183%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:49
LowVig.ag15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +12.94%E +0.835%K +0.892%G +0.115%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:49
BetOnline.ag15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +12.94%E +0.835%K +0.892%G +0.115%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Marathon Bet15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV +11.12%E +0.729%K +0.780%G +0.087%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:43
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Winamax (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:49
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:49
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Neds15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.01%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Codere (IT)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.01%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
GTbets13.83I 7.23%NM 6.87%EV +0.771%E +0.056%K +0.060%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.13%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Pinnacle13.78I 7.26%NM 6.95%EV +0.407%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Fliff13.25I 7.55%NM 7.08%EV -3.45%E -0.261%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.92%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Hard Rock Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:49
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:50
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:49
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:50
NetBet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Grosvenor12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (NL)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Casumo12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
TABtouch12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Bally Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
betPARX12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:49
ATG (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Svenska Spel12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betr (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:50
BetMGM12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:50
theScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:49
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:49
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:50
BetRivers11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -16.21%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:43
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:50
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:50
PMU (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:49
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betclic (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV -28.96%E -2.97%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -0.796%E -0.744%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 11:44
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -34.42%E -3.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%0.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Smarkets20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Novig13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83%4.6%2026-05-24 11:50