Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benjamin Bonzi v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 11:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prévision 7.29%13.72cote équitable
EV +89.45%
Avantage +3.44%
Kelly +3.58%
Croissance +3.20%

avec la cote maximale 26.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.74%7.37%7.28%10.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0013.3112.5026.0011.11%7.51%8.00%3.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 92.71%1.08cote équitable
EV -0.796%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -11.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.73%92.63%92.72%96.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.25%97.09%93.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Benjamin Bonzi (Local) : 7.29% ; Alexander Zverev (Visiteur) : 92.71%. Pour Benjamin Bonzi (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 13.72. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 26.00, soit une espérance positive de +89.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +89.45%E +3.44%K +3.58%G +3.20%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 11:39
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +23.87%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.356%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 11:49
Paddy Power🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +23.87%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.356%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 11:50
DraftKings🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +16.58%E +1.04%K +1.11%G +0.183%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +12.94%E +0.835%K +0.892%G +0.115%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +12.94%E +0.835%K +0.892%G +0.115%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV +11.12%E +0.729%K +0.780%G +0.087%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:43
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:49
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:49
FanDuel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.30%E +0.620%K +0.664%G +0.062%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.01%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.01%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
GTbets🎯13.83I 7.23%NM 6.87%EV +0.771%E +0.056%K +0.060%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.13%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Pinnacle🎯13.78I 7.26%NM 6.95%EV +0.407%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Fliff🎯13.25I 7.55%NM 7.08%EV -3.45%E -0.261%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.92%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 11:50
NordicBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:49
Betsson🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:49
Fanatics🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Grosvenor🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Casumo🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Bally Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
betPARX🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:50
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -8.92%E -0.714%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 11:50
theScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:49
888sport🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:50
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -16.21%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 11:43
Virgin Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Everygame🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:49
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV -28.96%E -2.97%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -0.796%E -0.744%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 11:44
Bet Victor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -34.42%E -3.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.51%E -4.37%K -150.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 11:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89%0.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Smarkets20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-05-24 11:50
Novig13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83%4.6%2026-05-24 11:50