The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Aziz Dougaz v Felix Gill

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aziz Dougaz (Local)

Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV -0.447%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.169%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.41%27.32%27.22%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.383.6530.77%29.46%29.63%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Felix Gill (Visit)

Prediction 72.73%1.38fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -3.61%
Kelly -15.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%72.68%72.78%73.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.06%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aziz Dougaz (Local): 27.27%; Felix Gill (Visit): 72.73%. For Aziz Dougaz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.447%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.447%E -0.122%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 13:00
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.17%E -0.894%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 12:59
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 12:59
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 12:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -10.55%E -8.58%K -45.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 12:59
Fliff🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.64%E -6.02%K -28.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:10
MyBookie.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -8.90%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 12:59
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.36%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.18%E -4.79%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:00
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -11.36%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.64%E -6.02%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 13:10
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -11.36%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.64%E -6.02%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-05-19 13:10
Novig◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.4%2026-05-19 13:10